Quote:
Input a TIF file, 564 MB.
Exporting to TIF with LZW compression produces a file of 686 MB.
Is that expansion unusual?
All depends

Tagged Image Format (TIF) is a container format and comes in several different 'flavours'. First thing is find the compression format of the original file. One way is command line ImageMagick, if a GUI is preferred, then XnViewMP can give details. In this example it is a fax format and very small file size - because it is 1 bit black & white.
Attachment:
tif.jpg [ 61.08 KiB | Viewed 5448 times ]
Export from Gimp with a LZW (lossless) compression and it is bumped up to greyscale 8bit and larger file size.
Depending on how Gimp "Edit -> Preferences -> Image Import & Export" is set up an imported Image can be converted to floating point precision and even larger file size. A comparison of the same image:
The original CCITT_7.TIF
size 68KExporting from Gimp with LZW compression CCITT_7gs.tif
size 264K 8 bit greyscale.
Exporting from Gimp with LZW
size 388K and precision 24 bit RGB
FWIW, (1) Find out the original format. (2) Check Gimp Import Preferences.